Predictions are meaningless and serve basically no purpose. However, that doesn’t mean they aren’t fun to make.
It’s so absurdly close, I don’t even know if it’s worth predicting. Robert Novak thinks Hillary will finish 3rd, I’m not sure I agree with that assessment but she could very easily finish 2nd. Some people are criticizing her campaign for even bothering to campaign in Iowa. However, I don’t think she could afford not to, she had to prove appeal to the heartland so to skip Iowa would have perpetuated the stereotype that she’s not connected with everyday America.
I’m going to say Obama takes Iowa, Hillary 2nd, and Edwards 3rd, all within a few thousand votes or so. However, they could be in any order but I don’t think Hillary will be 3rd.
On the Republican side, the trend has been back toward Romney but Huckabee is still maintaining a slight lead on average and in most polls. At this point, I am going to go out on a limb and say Huckabee may win Iowa if you base it on the polls. However, Romney has better organization so he may be able to win simply for the fact that he gets more people out to vote.
At this point, I’m not sure, I would still give an advantage to Romney on the basis of his far superior organization to that of Huckabee’s almost nonexistent organization.
Next, here’s a video report from CBS with their chief political correspondent who cannot remember a closer Iowa race than this one:
So basically nobody knows and we’ll just cover it down to the wire tomorrow night. We’ll have all official results as they come in and cover it until we have some official winners.