ABC News Poll: Obama Leading Hillary in Iowa

From ABCNews:

A growing focus on fresh ideas coupled with lingering doubts about Hillary Clinton’s honesty and forthrightness are keeping the Democratic presidential contest close in Iowa, with Barack Obama in particular mounting a strong race against the national front-runner.

Most Democratic likely voters in Iowa, 55 percent, say they’re more interested in a “new direction and new ideas” than in strength and experience, compared with 49 percent in July — a help to Obama, who holds a substantial lead among “new direction” voters.

The actual numbers from the new poll:Obama – 30%
Clinton – 26
Edwards – 22

However, the polls have continued to be tight in Iowa so this will probably be repudiated by whichever poll is released next. Also, it’s just 500 likely voters which is pretty weak.

On average, according to RCP, Hillary is still leading 27.2 to Obama’s 24.8.


Hillary gets beat by the top three Republicans in Florida as well:

Republican Rudy Giuliani, shown here campaigning yesterday at the NASCAR Nextel Cup Ford 400 race in Homestead, is the most popular presidential candidate in Florida, with 57 percent of voters willing to consider voting for him, according to a new Mason-Dixon poll.

In a potential matchup with Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton, Giuliani wins 50-43 percent. Republicans Fred Thompson and Mitt Romney also beat her, although their wins are within the margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points.

Not as much of a shock, Florida is a rather red state at the core even though it ends up being close. Plus Floridians are not all that keen on the Democrats boycotting their state for moving the primary, that could play in as well.

Update by Angry: I concur. It’s entirely possible the Democratic party is shooting itself in the foot with all the infighting, boycotting Florida and trying to blame everything under the sun on the Republic party, they seem to be turning themselves off to the American public,slowly but surely at this pace. With Hugo Chavez buddying up with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the Democrats may face an issue with the American people viewing Democratic leadership thus far as not being up to the task of handling it as the Democrat led congressional ratings sit lower than that of the President being evident of the people’s opinion that neither party is currently held in high regard…. Nate?