McCain stumbling, losing support and cash

According to Novak:

George W. Bush’s 2004 campaign fund-raisers and contributors are being bombarded with appeals for money by Sen. John McCain’s heavy-spending, money-short 2008 campaign.

McCain’s money-raisers are hard put to reach the $10 million goal set for the second quarter of 2008 by the June 30 deadline, after collecting $12 million in the first quarter. McCain raised $2 million in April and $3 million in May, and is expected to reach $2-3 million in June — falling short of the $10 million goal and of what his opponents have raised.

In my opinion, from observation of the questions on immigration McCain kept getting in New Hampshire, his campaign has hit a low point:

McCain is proud to be a chief cosponsor of a reform bill, now stalled, that includes a path to citizenship for the nation’s estimated 12 million illegal immigrants. But most of the people he needs to back him in a GOP primary oppose it. “Do I think it’s perfect?” McCain asked the crowd in New Hampshire. “No.” But to do nothing, he quickly added, “is the worst of all worlds.” That explanation wasn’t enough for one voter, who stood and told McCain she simply couldn’t support his bill. “I understand,” the senator replied, a bit testily. “And when you have a better proposal, I would love to hear it.”

It seems unlikely that McCain will win that woman’s vote.

McCain is completely wrong on this bill and on immigration in general. He simply needs to look at the Republican protests in his home state.

This is also hurting him:

McCain stood alone among the GOP candidates in embracing the bipartisan bill which would tighten borders and offer employers more temporary workers from abroad in addition to providing lawful status to an estimated 12 million illegal aliens.

McCain may believe what he supports is right, and that’s fine. He has convictions and beliefs. However, the base of the Republican Party is not supportive of his Ted Kennedy-backed amnesty legislation. I imagine that his donations have dropped off, in large part, due to his stance on the recently killed immigration bill.

I also think this attitude isn’t helping:

“And when you have a better proposal, I would love to hear it.”

The “shut-up or put-up” attitude is not good on the campaign trail. I was amazed he didn’t try to explain his position to her.

Though he remains quite popular, I think his days are numbered in this race and I don’t say that lightly. It’s early in the race, I know. However, I believe the 2007 McCain is not the 2000 McCain and his numbers are proving it. He will go through the summer and to the caucuses but I don’t think he’ll go further. Giuliani and/or Thompson seem to have more support.