The More Things Change

The spin and “analysis” surrounding the November 3rd elections has been, well, mind boggling.  The pick-up of 60+ seats wasn’t really 60+ it was only 30+ because 30 of those seats “belonged” to Republicans and should have never gone to Democrats in the first place (Joe Scarborough).  It’s about the economy, it’s about government over reach, it was about Nancy, the President, and Harry; it was about doing too much or not doing enough.  It was about over exposure or not enough exposure, too much of the President or not enough.  It was about communications.  It was about Health Care, bail outs and stimulus, or not!

Voters were angry, unable to think straight.  The election was about the Tea Party, independents and de-motivated Democratic voters.  Voters were either really smart, or really stupid, depending who you ask. 

The largest change of seats in The House occurred in 1938, 81 seats.  There seems to be three overriding factors: recession, New Deal policies with minimal economic impact and policy initiatives outside of mainstream public acceptability.  1938 saw a major Republican assault on the policies of The New Deal. 

Minor parties and independents abandoned Roosevelt and the Democrats.  There was an attempt to pack the Supreme Court.  The New Deal was not working and some sitting Democrats were subjected to a White House effort to defeat them in Democratic primaries.  It had been about a decade since Republicans had enjoyed any level of success in Congressional elections.

Any of this sound vaguely familiar?

Andrew E, Busch a professor of political science at Claremont College has been analyzing and writing about mid-term elections for at least a decade; he believes that Roosevelt “overestimated the impact of his popularity and persuasive powers”.  Union violence, strikes and political activity were growing and considered a factor in the rejection of Democrats based on the 1935 Labor Relations Act passed by Roosevelt through the Democratic Congress.  The targeting of Democratic politicians was categorized in the Press as a “purge” and rendered Roosevelt impotent in the eyes of some.  “Purge’ was, at the time, a charged word as the Moscow Show Trials were ongoing. 

Professor Busch believes the 1938 election was an effort to rein in The President and force the inclusion of conservative ideas in Congress.  News commentator Arthur Krock considered to be the Dean of Washington newsmen at the time, opined that the election signaled a “return to the two party system”.

President Roosevelt found himself playing defense and a wide variety of stalemates occurred in Congress.  Professor Busch believes that 1938 was the essentially the end of Roosevelt being able to dominate domestic politics as he had in the past.  The New Deal as ongoing policy was essentially derailed in 1938.

The more things change……………………

  • Bill Hedges

    Down here in the Ozarks we hunt. We also vote conservative. Unlike crowded areas where they voted obama into office. Seems breathing fresh air has that affect.

    Resent election reminds me of wild turkey season awhile back. Ever hear how bright a wild turkey is ? They aren’t. Got a brain the size of a pea. A hunter likes a good reason when he comes home empty handed.

    I remember watching a single wild hen going up to a fence. Turning around and backing up. Then walking up to the fence. I don’t know how long she would have done that, I was only amused for about 5 minutes. My permit allowed me one hen to take home. Bang !!!

    Ever try fired wild turkey. Delicious. With FRIED GREEN TOMATOES. Liked that movie. Good with fried turkey. Rest was fried too.

    Things got a little fried this year. Had to throw out the old grease. New fresh Crisco lard. If this lard goes sour, guess I’ll have to change again. Got high hopes it last for some time…

  • Bill Hedges

    Is kind of funny listening to Democrats say they did not lose over ideology. Going against town hall meetings and polls was no clue. Big loses was no clue. Was the economy don‘t you know. Natural it was all Bush in last election. Never mind Bush’s warnings.

    Wasn’t Democrats passing their ideology ? Some say Republicans stopped Democrats effects to clean up the mess. I thought they had supermajority in both Houses. Guess I was wrong.

    Now a commission has ideas to cut debt. Many been around a long time. My favorite is cutting cooperate taxes to create jobs. Sounds like a Kennedy/Reagan/Bush trickle down idea. Not obama. He has been fighting tax cuts for rich.

    I always thought the commission was a excuses for obama to support Republican ideas. Attempt to steal Republican thunder. Obama doesn’t want a bloody war with people in a tizzy.