Gallup: Democrats Will Abandon If Their Candidate Loses

The new poll coming from Gallup shows that Democrats will be none too keen if their candidate loses. That is, many Obama supporters will head to McCain if Clinton becomes the nominee, and vice-versa. In fact, the numbers are higher for Clinton supporters heading to McCain if Obama becomes the nominee.

Here’s the graphic from Gallup:

The report from Gallup:

PRINCETON, NJ — A sizable proportion of Democrats would vote for John McCain next November if he is matched against the candidate they do not support for the Democratic nomination. This is particularly true for Hillary Clinton supporters, more than a quarter of whom currently say they would vote for McCain if Barack Obama is the Democratic nominee.

These conclusions are based on an analysis of Democratic voters’ responses to separate voting questions in March 7-22 Gallup Poll Daily election tracking. In each day’s survey, respondents are asked for their general election preferences in McCain-Clinton and McCain-Obama pairings. Democratic voters are then asked whom they support for their party’s nomination.

The accompanying graph displays the results of the relationship between support for the Democratic Party’s nomination and the general election vote between Obama and McCain.

And some more graphics:

  • Babs

    NBC Nightly News also did their own poll on this same question, and reported last night that the percentage of democrats who would vote for McCain was 20% with either scenario.

    I’ve been saying this forever. This year the democrats have chosen to do the love/hate thing with the candidates. I still predict a big crossover vote for McCain, and it looks like the polls are bearing that out.

  • IndiMinded

    It shouldn’t really be all that surprising. Clinton’s run a very negative campaign – this is bound to convince her supporters not to vote for her rival, and Obama’s supporters to feel pretty bitter towards her for the jabs. Especially when she’s willing to turn around and court him as her VP in the midst of questioning his ability. That seemed like a real slap in the face.

    By contrast McCain has always been a bi-partisan guy, he’s run campaign on the issues with very few attacks (the “how do we beat the bitch” comment not withstanding), and made his own base angry by reprimanding them for attacks against his Obama. Attacks meaning the use of his middle name – which had people debating for weeks whether it was actually even an attack.

    He has a longstanding reputation of honesty and integrity, and very admirable public service. Whatever else you can say about him, he’s also a hero. I remember years back when considering who might be the candidates this season, I found myself wondering if it came down to McCain vs Hillary, which ticket I’d vote with.

    As everyone keeps saying, it’s all going to come down to VPs, the economy, and how much dems really want to get out of Iraq. I am starting to think that Hillary and Obama will have to court each other to run on the same ticket no matter who wins – it may be the only way to heal the divide that’s been created in the party.

    But even though she’s publicly said she and Obama should be on the same ticket (with the voters deciding who’s on top so to speak), would she really accept the VP position if it were offered?

  • Stalin

    I am shocked by this. I had been rooting to Hillary againsty McCain. Now I may have to root for Oblama. What to do…what to do…

  • Michelle

    Stalin: LOL, your satire humors me! Almost as much as your handle.

    The numbers are impressive, though. I think it goes to show that Obama isn’t as unelectable as some are making him out to be.