Hillary Clinton’s Last Best Chance: The Popular Vote

In what’s now looking more and more bleak for the Clinton campaign in terms of the pledged delegate count from primaries and caucuses, apparantly the idea is now being floated that Hillary Clinton can take the popular vote and use it as leverage to gain the nomination. It’s a stretch.

Here’s the story from the Politico:

The apparent collapse of planned new votes in Florida and Michigan could push victory on a key symbolic measure — the primary season popular vote — beyond Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton’s grasp.

Clinton’s top supporters, including her husband, have suggested in recent days that amassing more votes than Sen. Barack Obama, while it has no formal meaning, could offer a key rationale for laying claim to the nomination. The theory: Winning the popular vote might give party leaders known as superdelegates a reason to take the nomination away from Obama, who is virtually sure to earn more pledged delegates.

“If Sen. Obama wins the popular vote then the choice will be easier. But if Hillary wins the popular vote but can’t quite catch up with the delegate votes, then you have to just ask yourself, ‘Which is more important, and who is more likely to win in November?’” former President Bill Clinton told ABC earlier this week.

Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell, a key Clinton ally, painted the same path to victory.

“Let’s assume that Sen. Clinton goes ahead in the popular vote count,” he said in a March 13 conference call with reporters. He then asked, “Which is more Democratic”: the measure of delegates won or of votes received.

But it’s assuming a lot to give Clinton anything but the slimmest of chances to lead in the popular vote. It’s impossible to project turnout in the 10 states and territories left to vote, but Clinton will have to close a deficit of more than 700,000 votes. That means, even with extremely high turnout estimates, she would have to win by huge, double-digit percentages in the states where she could have an edge — Pennsylvania and West Virginia — while holding Obama to tiny gains in states such as North Carolina and Oregon, where he is heavily favored.

That’s pretty weak and I can’t see it happening. Even if she does edge out Obama on the popular vote, I just cannot possibly see how Democratic voters will be in favor of giving her the nomination under those circumstances.

  • Paul V

    Well MSNBC doing it again,,,I see Bill Oreilly,, “Oh I mean Keith Oberman who acting like Bill Oreilly”
    OutRage, just out rage,,, about OBama Passport,,, He more up set about it than Michelle Obama..
    Get a grip,, Everyone know you have this love feast with Obama,, but know as Always Billo ops I meant Keith.
    Speaking out of term again,, It no just Obama Passport,, it Hilary McCain. Barack .
    But Of course in your eyes , it only going to be about Obama try to make the public,,, give only him
    Sympathy ,,, You’ve always wrong lately,, Your not wrong about bill OReilly maybe you should just stick with him..

    LOOK at the blunder you did with your special comments on Hilary and Ferarro… how she was out of line for her comments
    But when Obama Racist pastor does something or its a different story,,a man he knew for 20 year,, not only did he lie on your
    Station,,, saying he never Heard those remarks or ever hearing him saying those remarks,,, then he came out a week later say yes he was in church when he said some remarks,,,and then he will not denounce Jeremiah Wright ,,, Yet he He did say last year, Imus should get fired for those remark against the woman basket ball team,,, but Jeremiah Wrights comment are alot worst,,, And still yet Billo Oberman, Now he is saying,,, talking about his grand mother, she a Typical white woman,,,, all the racism coming from Obama camp.
    Obama want to unite everyone ,,, it will happen but not by Obama,,, the Obama camp been on CNN and Msnbc & Fox saying if the Super Delegate give Hilary the delegates, The obama Voters are going to vote for McCain,, Well that a big to blog out there,,, Most of us are learning from the Obama camp,,, If Obama wins the Primary,,, Hilary voter will vote for McCain, ,,,What goes around comes around,,, there many blogs on this,,,Why don’t MSNBC Just call them selfs MSNBC Barack Obama head Quarters.who who will be the main Anchor,, Billo Oberman. The Worst Person in The World,

  • Paul V

    Barack Obama is a liar,,,

    To all
    Obama speech ,,,, Not sure if you caught Not only did Obama,,, Refuses to denounce him,, but even More,, He say in his own words,,,
    Barack Obama was in church when Jeremiah Wright,, was spewing Anti-American, Racist ism ,,,, Those were his own words,,, barack was there
    After going on keith Oberman ,Show obama said he would denounce that if he heard that language he would leave and not tolerate it , and denounce it
    After he went on MSNBC,, he went on FOX CNN ABC< all the news station saying he was never there,,, in his church when he said these things,,
    But Now today during his speech,,He states flat out Say’s HE was there,,, Last week Barack Obama Lied,, went on all the news stations, and Lied,,
    But your not reporting that,,,, You can rest assure,,, cnn ,,, Fox , ABC,,, Msnbc,, are getting more on this ,,, they will be reporting on this, and we will see
    If you chose to report, Obama Lying on tv,,, If this was Hilary clinton lying and caught lying on all the new station,,, you can be sure,, you would talk about it every hour
    people will be on your station debating this,,,, people analysing , if it is hilary clinton but it was not her it was Barack Obama, ,, it bad enought He lied, about being in church
    With Jeremiah Write, when he said these anti american ,,,,,and still refuse to denounce him…all the news agency want to do is speak on how good his speech was,
    Not that he lied,,, Last week on all the news agency ,, He was never there today in how own speech He say I was there,,,,should play all Obama videos from last week
    stating he was not there,,, or heard any of the anti-american Jeremiah Write, said in his churc then play his speech today saying he was there and he did hear him in church and refuse to denounce Jeremiah Write,,,

  • Stanley Dokubo

    Paul V, as bad as Pastor Wright’s comments are, you more of a bigot that he is. Look at all your spin, ripping out snippets of the whole man, just concentrating on it to give a dog a bad name just so your hateful racist tendencies will let you kill it. Obama has a message (fresh and new), judgement, character and a plan to end the war and unify America. Throw away the dirty water with the baby all you want. Without Obama, its going to be business as usual for a long time. And we leave another generation to burden to dealing with our racist really because we just couldn’t get ourselves to confront it.

    One more point: this castigation of the media by Hillary and her supporters is clearly now a working strategy. Accuse the press enough so they turn against your opponent are rip him apart unjustifieably so they can prove your accusations are wrong.

  • Don

    Some people don’t seem to understand politics. Funny. Everybody in politics lies. They need to, since some folks are just too dumb to understand and focus on the real issues.

  • Dem ’08

    The media is no doubt “Obama supporters”. This web site is on Obama’s side as well just in case someone could not tell. It is no suprise really with the views of some of the people who put this site together.

  • Michelle

    Okay Paul V (I don’t quite get your typing method but anyway), when Obama said he wasn’t in church he was referring to the soundbyte sermons that included “Hillary ain’t never been called a N-word” and “God Damn America”. Obama was referring to another instance where the comment may have been controversial ( like maybe one where the pastor is referring to police brutality on a black person: controversial, perhaps with a line of truth in it, but nonetheless may have been considered politically incorrect).

    Everyone (you too Dem 08), if you can stop, think about it, the media is purposefully spinning things to turn the Obama and Clinton supporters against each other, playing soundbytes of one another and propelling stories that would no doubt infuriate one side or the other. Let’s all remember that while we would be “upset if our candidate don’t make it”, we are risking voting in a 72-year old war momger who cares not for the will of the people. Don’t let it happen! Vote for who you like, then unite under whoever wins. Be open to both, and look at the voting records and stances on the issues rather than if Obama was in church or if Hillary is throwing in a kitchen sink. Jesus…

  • “Why do I have to keep proving to people that I am not a liar?!” -Hillary Rodham Clinton, 2000

    Yes, Hillary Clinton does lie. And, Hillary will continue to lie, but thank goodness for that. So, “chill out” and let this woman lie. She’s going to get caught; just you wait and see: http://theseedsof9-11.com