Super Tuesday Results Analysis By Candidate

In actuality, the only real “loser” last night was Mitt Romney. He didn’t win the states he needed to win if he was going to make nay dent at John McCain’s lead.

I’ll begin with the Republican race.

John McCain – I would say he had a victorious night. California is winner-take-all by congressional district. It appears right now McCain has taken the majority of most districts and may take 110 to 120 delegates from California. As of now, that’s not reflected in the delegate count on the site because it’s all still being calculated. If the media wasn’t calling him unstoppable before, they sure are now. He swept the major states and has cemented his front runner status. The remaining primary states are mostly open. McCain has all-but been crowned the nominee.

Mitt Romney – Romney had a tough night. He won a few states, 2 of them were the expected such as Utah and Massachusetts. Outside of those, he won some random states including Alaska. Nowhere near a huge delegate count. Romney has vowed to stay in and fight it out for a while. Why not? He’s got the cash I guess and he has a strong conservative backing. Still, Super Tuesday proved he has some challenges ahead.

Mike Huckabee – Literally the “comeback kid”, most had him for dead after Florida. His biggest strength was that he was still on the ballot, therefore, he claimed some victories. Huckabee carried the south, his appeal seems to be fairly strong there. Several states he only won by a few points, but he won them nonetheless. Huckabee doesn’t have a chance at the nomination either at this point but he may be shooting for VP. Perhaps proving he could be an asset to Republicans in the south.

Ron Paul – Time to pack up and head back to Texas? I’m thinkin’ so. I only say that because he didn’t take any states, just a few delegates, literally a few comparatively. I’d say Paul has made his points and made his impact on the campaign. I think he’s got a better chance as a third-party independent candidate. He has the cash, why not make a run for it? Either way, I don’t think he’s going further under the Republican mantle.

Now, onto the Democrats:

Hillary Clinton – She may have won New York and California but Obama may well end up with more delegates. As of now, and the delegate counts are still being calculated, Clinton may wind up behind Obama. The Politico is describing her as “avoiding a Super Tuesday scare”. I think that’s accurate because she came close to losing some big states. Her inevitability is once again gone and she’s now back in a serious battle. As a preemptive move, Clinton has instantly agreed to 5 or 6 debates in February. Even on on Fox News, which the Democrats vowed to avoid. Just to be clear, Clinton did well, she just probably wanted to do better.

Barack Obama – Obama, out of all the candidates, probably had the best night. He may end up with the most delegates and he ended up winning the most states on the Democratic side. Despite the victory, Obama is still painting himself as the underdog. At this point, I’m not sure if there is a “front runner” on the Democratic side. I’d call whichever candidate emerges as the delegate winner the front runner, and that may be Obama. We’ll keep following the delegates and see who winds up on top.

You can view the full Super Tuesday results for all states and candidates here:

Official Super Tuesday Voting Results

  • Mark

    Ron Paul National Delegate Count Now 42 or More
    http://ronpaul2008.typepad.com/ron_paul_2008/2008/02/ron-paul-nation.html

    February 6, 2008

    ARLINGTON, VIRGINIA – With the results of many of the “Super Tuesday” primaries and caucuses now finalized, the Ron Paul campaign is now projecting that it has at least 42 delegates to the national convention secured.

    According to campaign projections, a minimum of 24 delegates were won in yesterday’s contests. When added to projected delegates coming from strong showings in Iowa (4), Nevada (8), Louisiana (3) and Maine (3), that brings the total delegate count to 42 delegates or more.

    In an agreement first reported by West Virginia television station WSAZ, three Ron Paul delegates were secured through an agreement with the Mike Huckabee campaign at the West Virginia state convention early Tuesday. Ron Paul delegates to the state convention swung their sizable support to Huckabee – putting Huckabee over the top – in exchange for the delegates.

    According to campaign projections from last night’s results at least 3 delegates were won in Alaska, 5 delegates were won in North Dakota, 9 delegates were won in Minnesota, and 4 delegates were won in Colorado.

  • Allyson

    Wrong Delegate amount for Paul…

    Why would Paul get out when it’s clear that no one will have the amount of delegates needed to outright win? I could understand if McCain was 20 off, but he’s far from getting the amounts needed.

    This thing will be decided at the convention, imho.