Oprah Returns To Campaign For Obama In California

She’s back for Obama, this time headlining events in California.

Story from The Caucus:

ALBUQUERQUE – Oprah is on the way.

On Sunday, Oprah Winfrey is returning to the presidential campaign trail to headline a California event for Senator Barack Obama. The Obama campaign has yet to announce details, but people familiar with the event say the television talk show magnate will join Michelle Obama at a campaign rally in the Los Angeles area.

The goal? Closing the gap with Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton in California before Tuesday’s primary. The target? Women voters.

It has been nearly two months since Ms. Winfrey made her debut on the trail, drawing tens of thousands of people to arenas in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina. Mr. Obama won Iowa and South Carolina, which aides attribute to the attention stirred by Ms. Winfrey. (Particularly the landslide South Carolina victory.)

Arguably she may have helped his landslide victory in South Carolina but will it do him any good going into Super Tuesday? The trend has him on the upswing and Hillary sort of leveling out or sliding down a bit.

Polls have him down a little over 10 points in California so it’s not entirely off the table for him.

Still, the bottom line for me is that for Obama, Oprah has been good for a victory about 66% of the time. I say that because she campaigned in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina a couple months ago. Of the three, Obama took South Carolina and Iowa. I think Obama has a lot of prominent Democratic supporters but just not the depth Hillary Clinton seems to have.

Oprah is good for headlines, I don’t think she translated into votes on the same scale, nor will she for Super Tuesday.

Update

Could Al Gore be on the verge of endorsing Obama?

After reading this from The Atlantic, it seems possible:

Gore has already seen one presidency (his own) slip away over a handful of votes. He must have pondered how it would feel to play kingmaker and shore up someone else’s path to the White House.

A well-connected Tennesseean told me two things today that got me thinking about this. The first is that Obama and Gore have been speaking regularly, about every two weeks or so. The second is that, despite this, and despite Tennessee’s primary on Tuesday, Obama has not visited the state since June. It may be simply that he does not plan on competing there. Or it may be that he’s been waiting for a special occasion.

Could that be the bombshell to put Obama over Clinton?

  • Michael

    Oprah is at 66%, not 33% (Obama won Iowa and South Carolina). Andi, if you factor in how much we behind Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire– and how close it came (they actually split delegates), she may be batting 100% in increasing voter turnout.

    Oprah is just one of Obama’s many levers coming into Super Tuesday. MoveOn.org, the Kennedys, momentum, and the incredible cash flow will all make an impact on California voters here. Oprah is also a ‘native’ Californian, having a home just outside of Santa Barbara. She may have more pull her than other places– and this is a big state to win.

  • Thanks for that, you mix posting with tired and get obvious mistakes.

    Obama has serious momentum, the win is within his grasp if he can convince enough Clinton faithfuls to give him a chance.

  • Michael

    No problem. I think I made more spelling mistakes in that last post than a third grader, so alls equal there.

  • Robert

    I think Oprah’s endorsement does more harm than good in the grand scheme of things. The Clintons have been accused of trying to “ghettoize” Obama, to make him out to be a candidate on par with Al Sharpton or Jesse Jackson. Oprah, I feel, does the same. The last thing Obama wants is for his campaign to turn into some kind of black power movement.

  • nzpudding

    No offence to anyone, but there’s a lot of dumb Americans who can’t think for themselves and look at their favourite celebrity for an opinion and follow suit.

    Oprah has a massive following of middle-aged white females, if she can help somewhat get their support for Obama, then it can only be good in the long run.