Polls are funny little numbers, politicans are often heard saying they aren’ worried abouyt them, or odn’t pay attention to them, when in fact the polls are a large source for their strategists and handlers. With that I grew curious over what the pirmaries ticket may look like and judging by the numbers, for the best possible outcome for either political party, this is what I have come up with :
Republican Ticket: Rudy Giuliani (P)/John McCain (VP)
Going against the grains as I often due, I’m more inclined to think Mitt Romney would be the better choicer for Rudy’s VP. Here’s a little of the poll info via Pollingreport.com.
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Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. March 9-12, 2007. N=631 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. |
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“Now I‘m going to read a list of candidates who might be running for the Republican Party presidential nomination in 2008. If the Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, listen carefully to the names and then tell me which candidate you would be most likely to vote for. . . .“ Names rotated |
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| 3/9-12/07 | 2/23-26/07 | 1/22-23/07 | ||||
| % | % | % | ||||
| Rudy Giuliani |
40 |
38 |
26 |
|||
| John McCain |
20 |
24 |
30 |
|||
| Newt Gingrich |
10 |
12 |
14 |
|||
| Mitt Romney |
7 |
7 |
5 |
|||
| Sam Brownback |
2 |
2 |
3 |
|||
| Mike Huckabee |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|||
| Jim Gilmore |
1 |
- |
1 |
|||
| Chuck Hagel |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|||
| Tom Tancredo |
- |
1 |
1 |
|||
| Other (vol.) |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|||
| Will not vote (vol.) |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|||
| Unsure |
13 |
12 |
14 |
|||
| George Pataki |
n/a |
n/a |
2 |
|||
Democrat Ticket: Hillary Clinton (P)/ Barack Obama (VP)
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Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. March 9-12, 2007. N=682 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. |
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“Now I‘m going to read a list of candidates who might be running for the Democratic Party presidential nomination in 2008. If the Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, listen carefully to the names and then tell me which candidate you would be most likely to vote for. . . .“ Names rotated |
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| 3/9-12/07 | 2/23-26/07 | 1/22-23/07 | ||||
| % | % | % | ||||
| Hillary Rodham Clinton |
34 |
36 |
40 |
|||
| Barack Obama |
26 |
24 |
21 |
|||
| Al Gore |
13 |
13 |
9 |
|||
| John Edwards |
10 |
11 |
11 |
|||
| Dennis Kucinich |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|||
| Bill Richardson |
2 |
3 |
4 |
|||
| Joe Biden |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|||
| Al Sharpton |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|||
| Chris Dodd |
- |
- |
1 |
|||
| Other (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|||
| Will not vote (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
- |
|||
| Unsure |
10 |
7 |
6 |
|||
| John Kerry |
n/a |
n/a |
4 |
|||
| Tom Vilsack |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
|||
Now granted my predictions aren’t actually predictions, I just made logical assesments based on the numbers, which doesn’t factor in political choice by the primary candidate winner, etc. It’s all about the numbers in the end anyway folks, without em ya can’t win an election.
Update by Nate @ 8:44pm
I actually disagree with at least your Republican prediction. Rudy is a social liberal, McCain isn’t that far behind despite what he claims. I think we could see something like Rudy/Thompson (Fred Thompson, if he announces) or Rudy/Romney.
Also, I’m not sure if the Democrats, despite their claimed open-mindedness are going to put the first woman and first black on the final ticket. I think it would be a powerful ticket but I’m not sure it will happen. I think it would be their best shot but who knows.
It’s so far off now. I can’t wait for the upcoming debates.
Update by the Angry American:
Actually I am in agreeance with you, I was just giving a concept based on the numbers in the poll, I totally agree Giuliani/Romney would be the select choice, and I thought all day about the whole feamle/black first combo and I have to agree, but I can’t really decide if it would work or not, the way i see it it either will in a landside, or it will be the total demise, most likely the latter. Thompson I have to check out
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